Monday, September 20, 2010

Independents are Shifting Their Support to Republicans

The upcoming midterm elections this coming November is projected to be a seesaw battle between the Democrats and Republicans. With control of the senate at stake, both political parties are doing whatever they in order to win most of the vacated seats. It is remembered that the Republicans strong declared their intentions to regain control of the senate and other key legislations. But recent Tea Party victories have deeply impacted the GOP campaign even up to the point where they predict massive losses. Despite of this, the republican spirit moves on and will look forward to victory come election time.

Looking back at the previous presidential elections where Mr. Obama convincingly won, his campaign was fueled by the massive support which he got from independent voters. But today’s situation is much different considering the struggles most American citizens are facing. With an unemployment rate nearing 10%, more Americans are now desperate to find ways to solve this crisis. The failure of the Obama-led stimulus package to generate adequate jobs resulted in more discontent and disappointments.

A recent survey in August which was conducted by Douglas E. Schoen LLC on behalf of Independent Women’s Voice showed that more independents are now transferring their support to the Republican Party. 50% of respondents showed support for the Republicans compared to only 25% for the Democrats. Also, 52% of independents think that that their views are much more aligned with the Republican Party compared to the Democratic Party. The result of the survey comes as a surprise considering that independents generally have negative views towards the GOP.

A follow-up interview which was conducted after the victory last week of Tea Party-backed candidate Christine O’Donnell showed how the Democratic influence is rapidly decreasing. The Republican lead in the upcoming congressional election has reached 22 points, 40% to 18%, with all likely-to-vote independents. Independents have also showed strong support for the extension of Bush-era tax cuts among all Americans. It is good to note that Pres. Obama and several democrats have proposed the continuation of the tax cuts only to people who earn less than $150,000 a year.

Independents have also indicated that they want candidates to cut spending and taxes, have a balanced budget, reduce budget deficits and the federal debt, reduce the power of special interests and unions, repeal and replace the health-care legislation, and decrease partisanship. Though Independents believe that both the Republicans and Democrats are big spenders, they see Democrats as the worse. Despite of the clear advantage by the GOP, they should still be able to persuade the Independents on their true intentions. Failure to do so would result in Independents being disgusted and might refrain from voting at all.

There is still a possibility that Independents may bring back their support to Pres. Obama and his democratic party especially if Republicans are unable to present a clear platform for development. Present trends still suggest Independents favoring the GOP over the Democrats. The support that Independents may give to Republicans may still depend though on what agenda the party can clearly present to them.

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