Tuesday, September 21, 2010

A Look at Tea Party Strength in Key Battleground States

With just a couple of weeks away from the U.S. midterm elections, no party is still assured of victory this coming November. With the continuous failure of the stimulus package to generate jobs and with the inability of the Obama administration to stimulate economic growth, there are wide speculations that Republicans will finally regain control of Congress. Despite of this, recent Tea Party victories in key Republican senate primaries may have jeopardized the chances of the Republican Party to establish a majority. The Tea Party Movement is now making its presence felt and will try to change the face of American politics this coming November.

Both Republicans and Democrats were utterly surprised last week when Tea Party-backed Christine O’Donnell handily defeated nine term U.S. Representative and former governor Mike Castle during Republican senate primary in Delaware. The upset was a clear indication of Tea Party strength and influence. Despite of the upset victory, O’Donnell will most likely have a hard time as surveys show that 54% of likely voters favor her Democratic Rival Chris Coons while 39% will vote for her. Only about 5% of the respondents are undecided with 2% already committed to a minor party candidate.

A recent survey also hinted that if Rep. Mike Castle won the Delaware senate primary, he is expected to defeat Coons with a 15-point margin. It is remembered that after the nomination of O’Donnell, several Republican leaders have expressed their discontent and even refused to support her. Fortunately for her, Delaware voters are more receptive to her small government message. About 42% disagreed from her statements while 41% expressed opposition to the Tea Party. The big challenge now is for O’Donnell to convince the voting sector about her qualifications and capabilities. While 59% of respondents feel that Coons is qualified to be senator, only 33% believe the same way for O’Donnell.

In Nevada, the senate race between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican Challenger Sharron Angle is locked up in a tight race with 46% of voters favoring Angle while 45% for Reid. On April 15, 2010, Angle received a major endorsement from the Tea Party Express which is seen as a turning point for her nomination. While 25% of respondents support the Tea Party, 27% say their votes say otherwise. 32% expressed strong opposition to the movement while only 22% support it.

In the Pennsylvania senate race, Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak is slipping father behind Republican and Tea Party-backed Pat Toomey according to a new Fox News battleground poll. Toomey participated in a Tea Party Movement rally where he received a massive endorsement from the party. According to a survey, Sestak is now trailing Toomey by 8 points compared to last week where Sestak was only trailing by 6 points. The Tea party has a broad influence at Pennsylvania. 45% say that they support the movement while 35% expressed their opposition.

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